Value Alert: Wigan are generously priced for home win

It's time to look for some value once again as Christian Crowther examines the upcoming action with the aid of Betfair's unique customer tool...

 

 

Firstly, just a brief reminder of what the Value Finder is all about for those punters yet to sample our latest creation.

 

Using factors such as short-term and long-term form, the variation in home and away performance, records against teams in a specific region of the table and recent head-to-head results, the Value Finder produces an alternative set of odds based purely on form.

 

The Value Alert widget contrasts those figures with the latest Betfair prices and flags up the area in which public perception most contradicts statistical evidence in either the match odds or over/under 2.5 goal markets, identifying potential back or lay value.

 

Last week, the Value Finder prodded punters in the direction of under 2.5 goals in the QPR game against Manchester United. Those who seized the Betfair price of 2.18 (0.36 chunkier than the Value Finder form price) were rewarded as the game finished 2-0.

 

So what are the key value alerts for the upcoming Premier League action?

 

Among the most notable alerts for this weekend is the potential discrepancy between Reading's actual price of 10.0 to win at Everton and the Royals' Value Finder rating.

 

Brian McDermott's men will be searching for a league double over the Toffees when they visit Goodison Park and the 5.40 difference adds enticement to potential backers.

 

Meanwhile, after Rafa Benitez's bizarre outpouring in front of the cameras on Wednesday night, Stamford Bridge will probably resemble an absolute hornet's nest for Chelsea as they host West Brom.

 

The Baggies did a job on Liverpool in their last Premier League away game and the widget suggests their price of 9.0 is handsomely-inflated to claim victory over their feuding hosts.

 

In front of a hostile crowd, the Value Finder forecast of 3.95 is hard to ignore. Elsewhere, Liverpool's visit to the DW Stadium catches the eye as a potential harbourer of value.

 

The Reds haven't bagged all the points at Wigan in their last four attempts and, given this is the time of year when the Latics usually light the torch paper, it may just be worth backing a Wigan victory at 4.6.

 

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