QPR V Wigan: Sunday six-pointer for these relegation candidates

7Apr 2013

England - Premier League

Jonno Turner previews the action down at Loftus Road, as both of these sides aim to improve their chances of Premier League survival with a win in this Sunday afternoon kick off...

We're off to West London to check out the best bets as QPR host Wigan Athletic - in what is a huge clash for both sides.

As far as relegation six-pointers go, they don't come much bigger than this - with the hosts looking increasingly likely to be kicking off next season in the second tier.

Harry Redknapp's side have suffered unforgivable defeats at the hands of Aston Villa and Fulham in their last two games, and are now a whopping seven points from safety with just seven left to play.

The home side will be without winger Shaun Wright-Phillips, who has undergone ankle surgery this week, but other than that it appears that 'Arry has a full complement to choose from.

Todays opponents Wigan Athletic are the side that Redknapp's charges will need to catch - which suggests that anything other than a win here will all but condemn the R's to the drop.

The Latics travel south full of confidence having won five of their last six, and, incredibly, it appears that Roberto Martinez is likely to engineer another miraculous last-ditch survival.

A 1-0 win at home to Norwich last week was a huge result for the DW Stadium side, and, with an extra game to play compared to many of their rivals down the bottom, todays visitors will be desperate to leave Loftus Road with a positive result.

And the away boss will be boosted by the fitness of Callum McManaman, who was withdrawn at half time last weekend due to an ankle injury, but has been passed to play against QPR.

Over 2.5 goals

With both sides desperate for the points in this clash, I have a hunch that we'll see goals - and Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.87.

A flutter on that market would have paid out in five of QPR's last six outings, and with 11 goals notched in their last five games, it is clear that it is not a lack of quality in the final third which has been the home side's achilles heel of late.

'Arry is not the most cautious of managers at the best of times, but with this game being a case of 'do or die', I think we will see the R's come flying out of the traps on their own patch.

And though results have not been satisfactory in the last couple of games, Rangers have mustered a whopping 21 shots on goal, which suggests that they are capable of carving out chances.

A look at the visitors' recent results shows that the Latics faithful have also been getting their moneys worth of late.

Backing Over 2.5 goals would have sent you home with a smile on your face in eight of their last nine games, and that is also testament to the open nature of how Martinez likes his side to line up - especially at the DW Stadium.

Both Teams To Score

With an end to end clash in the pipeline, I reckon that, though short, the BTTS market is well worth a look pre-match.

It's no secret that QPR harbour some real quality in their squad - but even so, they are always likely to ship a goal or two, as shown in recent weeks.

Christopher Samba came in for a lot of stick last week following a disastrous performance against Fulham, and he will be looking to make amends in this clash, but I still think that the visitors have the attacking threat to put their hosts on the back foot.

A bet on this market would've paid out in five of QPR's last half a dozen outings, and five of Wigan's last seven Premier League away games.

The Latics have not been involved in a goalless draw since February 2012, and that is a telling statistic, especially as QPR have shipped a massive 14 goals in six outings of late.

It is 1.67 for these sides to notch at least one each, and that's well worth a back.

Wigan DRAW NO BET

QPR go into this game priced as favourites - and with just two wins from their last 10 outings, and one win from nine at Loftus Road, I am struggling to see the value in backing that.

Yes - Redknapp's side desperately need to take maximum points from this clash, but Wigan are not a side you'd want to play at this stage in the season, and with forward Arouna Koné in impressive form having notched his 10th goal of the season against Norwich, the Latics are always likely to pose a threat.

Wigan are a tempting 3.25 to take maximum points from this clash, and I think that there is real value in that bet - but for the more cautious amongst us, the 2.26 on Wigan DRAW NO BET, with added insurance should the game end in a stalemate, could tick a box.

Recommended Bets

Over 2.5 goals @ 1.87

Both Teams To Score @ 1.67

Wigan DRAW NO BET @ 2.28