Fenerbahce vs Lazio: Romans overpriced yet again
Lazio have been one of the Europa League's most accomplished outfits this season, but Kevin Hatchard thinks the market has misjudged them ahead of their trip to Fenerbahce.
Fenerbahce vs Lazio, Thu 20:05 BST
Match Odds: Fener 2.34, Lazio 3.55, the draw 3.35
For some reason the market seems to consistently underestimate Lazio, even though they have been one of the tournament's most impressive sides. Vladimir Petkovic's men are unbeaten in the competition so far, and they have eased their way through knockout ties against Borussia Monchengladbach and Stuttgart. Lazio have played twelve games in the competition to date, winning eight and drawing four.
While Lazio have been impressive in general, striker Libor Kozak has stolen the show individually. He is the competition's top scorer with eight goals, including a hat-trick in Lazio's most recent Europa League game against Stuttgart. Given his record, I am surprised to see him trading at a hefty 9.0 in the First Goalscorer market at time of writing. Lazio's attack will be further boosted by the return from injury of German veteran Miroslav Klose.
Fener have reached this stage of the competition thanks to some outstanding away displays, but their European home form is nowhere near as good. Fener have played seven European games at the Sukru Saracoglu Stadium this term, and they have only won two of them. One of those victories was against BATE Borisov in the last 32, while the other was against Cypriot side AEL in the group phase. Fener's recent domestic form is strong (three wins on the spin), but Lazio represent a big step up in class.
Given their unimpressive home record, I can't fathom why Fener are 2.34 favourites. If you back Lazio Draw No Bet at 2.4, you'll win if Lazio win, and you'll have your stake returned if the match ends in a draw.
Recommended Bet
Back Libor Kozak to be First Goalscorer at 9.0
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Keywords: Fenerbahce, Lazio
Source: Betfair
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