Against All Odds: Romans to take something from Florence invasion

 

Fiorentina are odds-on for their Serie A clash with Roma this evening and Paul Robinson thinks that those tuning in to ESPN at 19:45 could witness a shock result.

 

Vincenzo Montella has worked wonders since being appointed as Fiorentina manager in the summer. The former Roma player and manager has taken them from mid-table obscurity to the edge of the Champions League places. With just four games to go, they sit in fourth place, one point adrift of Milan in third but six points clear of Roma in fifth.

 

In order to qualify for Europe's elite club competition, the club from Florence will have to overhaul AC Milan and they can't afford to drop too many points to do so. Viola have won their last three matches and they are unbeaten on home soil in Serie A since the beginning of the year. Interestingly though, they lost 1-0 after extra time here at Stadio Artemio Franchi to tonight's opponents in the Coppa Italia back in the middle of January.

 

Roma are in a four-way battle for the final remaining Europa League place and as just three points covers all four of them, they also can't afford to drop too many points. Aurelio Andreazzoli is the new man in charge following the dismissal of Zdeněk Zeman in February. Andreazzoli has toned down the team's style of play and after losing his opening game as boss, he's lost just one of his last 11 - winning seven of them.

 

The Yellow-Reds have won their last two away from Rome and they beat Inter 3-2 on their last road trip to reach the Coppa Italia final. Joint top scorers, Erik Lamela and Pablo Osvaldo both netted at the weekend so they're in fine form, and in Francesco Totti they have a player who can make something happen from nothing.

 

Roma are a new team under Andreazzoli and I expect them to give Fiorentina a hard time tonight. It should be a close encounter with the draw a strong possibility. That's why, with Fiorentina trading at around the 1.99 mark, I have to make them my lay of the day.

 

Recommended Bet

Lay Fiorentina v Roma @ 1.99

 

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