Against All Odds: AZ v PSV = Goals

9May 2013

Betfair

It's the final of the Dutch Cup this evening and Paul Robinson thinks we should be in for plenty of goals between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven.

AZ have had a really poor league campaign and with just one game to go, they look set to miss out on the Europa League play-off places. They had a miserable middle-part of the season but they have at least come good towards the end and have won four of their last six in the Eredivisie.

Gertjan Verbeek's side have done well in the Dutch Cup though and after being aided by some kind draws in the earlier rounds, they showed their quality by thrashing newly crowned league champions Ajax by three goals to nil in the semis.

It's all about goals, goals, goals with AZ and all five of their cup matches have gone over 2.5, with four going over 3.5. It's a similar story in the league as their last four results have been 6-0, 1-3, 4-0 and 4-0.

PSV will have been disappointed to lose out to Ajax in the Eredivisie but they can at least gain some consolation by winning their 10th KNVB Cup. Dick Advocaat's men warmed up for the final by winning their last three, and like their opponents, they are also all about goals.

The Peasants have scored an incredible 102 league goals this season and with 40 conceded, their fixtures have averaged a huge 4.3 goals each time. They also seem to produce the goods against AZ as the last six meetings between the pair have all gone over 3.5 goals, with two going over 4.5 and their match in September going over 5.5.

Dutch football is usually good for high scoring affairs and tonight should be no different. That's why, with under 3.5 goals trading at around the 1.81 mark, I have to make it my lay of the day.